Map of the United States showing a severe weather outlook with different risk levels for storms. Green indicates marginal risk, yellow indicates slight risk, and orange indicates enhanced risk. The most intense area of risk is in central Arkansas.

Convective Outlook Chart

A convective outlook chart depicts areas forecast to have the potential for severe (tornado, wind gusts 50 knots or greater, or hail 3/4 inch in diameter or greater) and non-severe (general) convection and specific severe weather threats during the following three days. The chart defines areas of slight risk (SLGT), moderate risk (MDT) or high risk (HIGH) of severe thunderstorms for a 24-hour period beginning at 1200 UTC. The Day 1 and Day 2 Convective Outlooks also depict areas of general thunderstorms (GEN TSTMS), while the Day 1, Day 2, and Day 3 Convective Outlooks may use SEE TEXT for areas where convection may approach or slightly exceed severe criteria.